DDS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDS - Dillards Inc.
$611.14
18.50 (3.12%)
▲
5d:
+3.61%
30d:
+10.96%
90d:
-3.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DDS is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DDS is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$458.01
Based on -5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$284.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDS is currently trading at $611.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $540.83 to $588.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.9) is in line with its historical norms (21.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $613.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DDS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $537.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $613.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DDS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $537.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$540.83 -
$588.27
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.1% above Wall St target ($537.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$540.83 -
$588.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$520.00
Resistance Level
$613.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.89
Wall Street Target
$537.00
(-12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
54.7%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
21.9 vs 21.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$615.42
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$619.73
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$624.06
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$612.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -14.1%)
$445.95
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -14.1%)
$445.52
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -14.1%)
$378.69
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $42.05
Bull Case
$430.79
(-29%)
Analyst growth -33.6%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$391.63
(-36%)
Market implied -33.6%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case
$401.09
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 1:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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