M Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
M - Macy's Inc.
$21.80
0.13 (0.60%)
▲
5d:
+3.56%
30d:
+14.02%
90d:
+13.48%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 03, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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1 traders called M this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: M is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: M is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.20
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: M is currently trading at $21.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.70 to $21.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.2) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, M is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.77, while resistance sits at $22.90.
Market Sentiment: M has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $19.40. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, M is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.77, while resistance sits at $22.90.
Market Sentiment: M has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $19.40. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.70 -
$21.17
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding M? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.0% above Wall St target ($19.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.70 -
$21.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.77
Resistance Level
$22.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.19
Wall Street Target
$19.40
(-11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.0%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.54
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$23.31
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$24.10
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.76
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -2.9%)
$42.92
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: -2.9%)
$19.96
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: -2.9%)
$16.96
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.32
Bull Case
$21.35
(-5%)
Analyst growth -7.8%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$19.41
(-14%)
Market implied -7.8%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$14.31
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 3:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is M showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
50044 shares
2026-04-06
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SELL
10010 shares
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7228 shares
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