DOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOV - Dover Corporation
$191.07
2.17 (1.15%)
▲
5d:
-5.33%
30d:
-9.19%
90d:
-10.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$297.21
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$184.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOV is currently trading at $191.07, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $197.19 to $209.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $187.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.89 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $187.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $246.89 (+29.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$197.19 -
$209.20
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DOV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.2% below Wall St target ($246.89)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$197.19 -
$209.20
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$187.72
Resistance Level
$206.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.41
Wall Street Target
$246.89
(+29.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 18.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$183.24
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$175.72
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$168.52
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$191.01
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$305.93
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 9.1%)
$248.16
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 9.1%)
$210.93
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.22
Bull Case
$294.34
(+54%)
Analyst growth 41.7%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$267.58
(+40%)
Market implied 41.7%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$128.45
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$216.57
(+13.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 04, 2026 8:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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