PH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PH - Parker-Hannifin Corporation

MISCELLANEOUS FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS
$982.12
5.59 (0.57%) ▲
5d: -0.53%
30d: +2.0%
90d: +11.32%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1163.31
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$722.32
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PH is currently trading at $982.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $952.32 to $980.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.7) is in line with its historical norms (27.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $1000.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $952.32 - $980.35
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 2th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($1039.70)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 10.6% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $952.32 - $980.35
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$60.56 (6.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $942.24
Resistance Level $1000.72
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.67
Wall Street Target $1039.70 (+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.2%
Profit Margin 16.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.0% premium
PE vs Historical 28.7 vs 27.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $986.30 (+1%)
2-Year Target $996.16 (+2%)
3-Year Target $1006.12 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→28) PE COMPRESSION $975.71 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.7, Growth: 8.9%) $1261.35 (+29%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.9%) $912.14 (-7%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 8.9%) $775.32 (-21%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $27.44
Bull Case $1314.78 (+35%)
Analyst growth 24.1%, PE expands to 38.6
Base Case $1195.26 (+22%)
Market implied 24.1%, PE stable at 35.1
Bear Case $654.70 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
David Taylor BUY 2026-03-12
David Taylor SELL 2026-02-26

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Advanced PH Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PH price and gamma walls.

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