ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc. MEASURING & CONTROLLING DEVICES, NEC

Rockwell Automation (ROK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$404.20
-1.99 (-0.49%) ▼
5d: +6.08% 30d: -4.54% 90d: -10.05%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (77%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$407.51 – $447.76
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.1x FAIR
vs 30.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$447.24
+10.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$370.65 / $454.13
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ROK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$555.74
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$345.07
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ROK is currently trading at $404.20, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $407.51 to $447.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.1) is in line with its historical norms (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 152.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ROK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $370.65, while resistance sits at $454.13.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $447.24 (+10.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $407.51 - $447.76
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $407.51 - $447.76
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $370.65
Resistance Level $454.13
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($447.24)
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 27.10
Wall Street Target $447.24 (+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 152.8%
Profit Margin 15.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 27.1 vs 30.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $390.46 (-3%)
2-Year Target $377.18 (-7%)
3-Year Target $364.36 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 27→30) $404.73 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 27.1, Growth: 12.7%) $578.14 (+43%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.7%) $423.72 (+5%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 12.7%) $360.16 (-11%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.54
Bull Case $531.48 (+32%)
Analyst growth 19.0%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case $483.17 (+20%)
Market implied 19.0%, PE stable at 32.4
Bear Case $276.21 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.1 to 30.1
Stabilization Target: $448.98 (+11.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.1%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ROK)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: CEO purchase of $ROK shares and improved international revenue trends in Asia Pacific for ROK in Q3 CY2026
Key Retail Themes: CEO share purchase International revenue trends
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive ROK Research Pages
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