DOV Dover Corporation CONSTRUCTION, MINING & MATERIALS HANDLING MACHINERY & EQUIP

Dover (DOV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$212.00
-0.98 (-0.46%) ▼
5d: -0.74% 30d: +11.06% 90d: +1.89%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (40%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$191.78 – $209.05
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.0x FAIR
vs 18.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$238.79
+12.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$201.13 / $217.74
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DOV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$302.53
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$187.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOV is currently trading at $212.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $191.78 to $209.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.0) is in line with its historical norms (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $217.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: DOV scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $238.79 (+12.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $191.78 - $209.05
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 40.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $191.78 - $209.05
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$7.66 (3.6%)
Support Level $201.13
Resistance Level $217.74
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($238.79)
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.99
Wall Street Target $238.79 (+12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 12.9%
Profit Margin 13.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 18.0 vs 18.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $211.15 (0%)
2-Year Target $210.31 (-1%)
3-Year Target $209.47 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) $211.86 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.3%) $313.63 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.0, Growth: 10.3%) $284.17 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 15.3, Growth: 10.3%) $241.54 (+14%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.57
Bull Case $322.07 (+52%)
Analyst growth 37.5%, PE expands to 27.3
Base Case $292.79 (+38%)
Market implied 37.5%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case $144.83 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.0 to 18.2
Stabilization Target: $214.43 (+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.1%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (DOV)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Dec 10, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment on $DOV dominates StockTwits with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 4:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:01 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive DOV Research Pages
DOV Technical Chart DOV Price Prediction DOV Intrinsic Value DCF DOV Earnings Date DOV Investment Advisor DOV Fair Price Analyzer DOV Options Chain DOV Options Advisor DOV Options Analysis DOV Competitors
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