Dover (DOV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DOV - Dover Corporation
$188.06
1.01 (0.54%)
â˛
5d:
+0.09%
30d:
-0.98%
90d:
-12.0%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DOV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: DOV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$294.85
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$183.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DOV is currently trading at $188.06, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.61 to $197.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $184.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $240.37 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DOV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $184.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $240.37 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$186.61 -
$197.33
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DOV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($240.37)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$186.61 -
$197.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$184.80
Resistance Level
$192.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.14
Wall Street Target
$240.37
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Profit Margin
13.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 18.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$180.16
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$172.59
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$165.35
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â18)
$188.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.2%)
$309.51
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$244.91
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 9.2%)
$208.18
(+11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.27
Bull Case
$289.85
(+54%)
Analyst growth 40.9%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$263.50
(+40%)
Market implied 40.9%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$127.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$214.36
(+14.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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