EMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMR - Emerson Electric Co.
$154.20
4.38 (2.92%)
▲
5d:
+3.28%
30d:
+10.89%
90d:
+12.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EMR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EMR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.87
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $154.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.10 to $147.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.9) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $153.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EMR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $153.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EMR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$137.10 -
$147.22
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($163.54)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$137.10 -
$147.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$136.06
Resistance Level
$153.53
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.89
Wall Street Target
$163.54
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.9%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 19.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$152.22
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$154.65
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$157.13
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$149.66
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$200.55
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 10.2%)
$198.99
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$169.14
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.40
Bull Case
$266.47
(+78%)
Analyst growth 63.0%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$242.25
(+62%)
Market implied 63.0%, PE stable at 33.8
Bear Case
$101.08
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Surendralal Lanca Karsan…
SELL
5700 shares
2026-03-10
Matthew S Levatich
SELL
1476 shares
2026-02-10
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