EMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMR - Emerson Electric Co.
$157.26
2.54 (1.64%)
â˛
5d:
-3.62%
30d:
+8.53%
90d:
+16.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 20, 2026 at $156.12 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EMR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EMR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$205.62
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $157.26, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.50 to $160.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.7) is in line with its historical norms (20.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $154.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EMR scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $154.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EMR scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$141.50 -
$160.83
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
39.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($171.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$141.50 -
$160.83
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$154.08
Resistance Level
$166.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.74
Wall Street Target
$171.07
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 20.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$161.51
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$165.87
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$170.35
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$157.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.7, Growth: 10.4%)
$211.57
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.4%)
$195.32
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.4%)
$166.03
(+6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.49
Bull Case
$274.20
(+74%)
Analyst growth 61.1%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case
$249.27
(+59%)
Market implied 61.1%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$105.21
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Surendralal Lanca KarsanâĻ
SELL
5700 shares
2026-03-10
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