What is the fair value of EMR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for EMR to be between $152.12 and $162.65. The current price is $160.29.

What is the analyst price target for EMR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for EMR is $174.96. This implies a potential upside of 9.2% from current levels.

Emerson Electric (EMR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EMR - Emerson Electric Co.

ELECTRONIC & OTHER ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT (NO COMPUTER EQUIP)

$160.29

-2.82 (-1.73%) ▼

5d: -1.15%

30d: +3.69%

90d: +8.35%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 11d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 6, 2026 at $159.54 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 4.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: EMR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$212.44

Based on 7.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$131.91

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $160.29, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $152.12 to $162.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $165.01. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $152.12 - $162.65

Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 61.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($174.96)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $152.12 - $162.65

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $154.52

Resistance Level $165.01

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.02

Wall Street Target $174.96 (+9.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.0%

Profit Margin 13.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium

PE vs Historical 22.0 vs 20.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $164.62 (+3%)

2-Year Target $169.06 (+6%)

3-Year Target $173.63 (+8%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→20) PE COMPRESSION $160.87 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.9%) $218.61 (+36%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.9%) $197.19 (+23%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.9%) $167.61 (+5%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 35.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.57

Bull Case $285.82 (+78%)

Analyst growth 59.3%, PE expands to 39.3

Base Case $259.84 (+62%)

Market implied 59.3%, PE stable at 35.7

Bear Case $110.91 (-31%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced EMR Option Strategies

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