Emerson Electric (EMR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMR - Emerson Electric Co.
$161.61
3.04 (1.92%)
▲
5d:
+2.14%
30d:
+8.48%
90d:
+14.16%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EMR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: EMR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$209.56
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$130.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $161.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.00 to $157.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.2) compared to its historical average (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EMR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $164.13. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EMR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$149.00 -
$157.49
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($173.68)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$149.00 -
$157.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$149.69
Resistance Level
$164.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.23
Wall Street Target
$173.68
(+7.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.78
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$172.12
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$177.63
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$161.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.2, Growth: 10.8%)
$219.79
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.8%)
$201.67
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 10.8%)
$171.42
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.68
Bull Case
$270.92
(+68%)
Analyst growth 55.3%, PE expands to 37.3
Base Case
$246.30
(+52%)
Market implied 55.3%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$107.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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