Emerson Electric (EMR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EMR - Emerson Electric Co.
$152.19
3.82 (2.57%)
â˛
5d:
+1.32%
30d:
-7.09%
90d:
+7.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $152.82 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EMR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: EMR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$207.42
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$128.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EMR is currently trading at $152.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $151.55 to $161.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $146.35, while resistance sits at $158.64.
Market Sentiment: EMR scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.81 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $146.35, while resistance sits at $158.64.
Market Sentiment: EMR scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.81 (+12.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$151.55 -
$161.13
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($171.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$151.55 -
$161.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$146.35
Resistance Level
$158.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.01
Wall Street Target
$171.81
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
21.0 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$154.32
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$156.48
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$158.67
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â20)
PE COMPRESSION
$152.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 10.5%)
$205.17
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.5%)
$196.99
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.5%)
$167.44
(+10%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.51
Bull Case
$262.17
(+72%)
Analyst growth 60.6%, PE expands to 36.2
Base Case
$238.33
(+57%)
Market implied 60.6%, PE stable at 32.9
Bear Case
$100.89
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 7:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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Advanced EMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EMR price and gamma walls.
