EPAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPAM - EPAM SYSTEMS, INC.
$105.56
1.90 (1.83%)
▲
5d:
+17.48%
30d:
+23.84%
90d:
-7.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: EPAM is 10.5% above its trading range ($95.55). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: EPAM is 10.5% above its trading range ($95.55). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$199.91
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.13
15.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPAM is currently trading at $105.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.68 to $95.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $84.03, while resistance sits at $109.01.
Market Sentiment: EPAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.24 (+28.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPAM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $84.03, while resistance sits at $109.01.
Market Sentiment: EPAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $135.24 (+28.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$79.68 -
$95.55
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EPAM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.5% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.1% below Wall St target ($135.24)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.68 -
$95.55
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.03
Resistance Level
$109.01
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.47
Wall Street Target
$135.24
(+28.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.8%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$85.50
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$76.95
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→11)
$108.19
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.3%)
$372.66
(+253%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 8.3%)
$134.26
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 8.3%)
$114.12
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.75
Bull Case
$228.05
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$207.32
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case
$70.49
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$148.41
(+40.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+40.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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Advanced EPAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EPAM price and gamma walls.
