FMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FMC - FMC Corporation

CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS
$12.35
-0.78 (-5.94%) ▼
5d: -8.59%
30d: -15.18%
90d: -9.72%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your FMC Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FMC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.78
26.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FMC is currently trading at $12.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.87 to $14.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (6.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FMC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.25 (+39.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $12.87 - $14.65
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.9%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 39.7% below Wall St target ($17.25)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.87 - $14.65
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.22
Resistance Level $13.98
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.61
Wall Street Target $17.25 (+39.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -77.6%
Profit Margin -72.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.6 vs 6.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.92 (-4%)
2-Year Target $11.50 (-7%)
3-Year Target $11.10 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→6) $12.47 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 28.4%) $102.17 (+727%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 28.4%) $26.14 (+112%)
Bear: (PE: 4.8, Growth: 28.4%) $22.22 (+80%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 6.3
Stabilization Target: $13.88 (+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.4%
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Michael F Barry BUY 18072 shares 2026-03-04

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