FMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FMX - FOMENTO ECONOMICO MEXICANO, S.A.B. DE C.V.
$121.81
1.67 (1.39%)
▲
5d:
-0.7%
30d:
+2.44%
90d:
+9.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FMX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FMX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.34
Based on -3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FMX is currently trading at $121.81, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.25 to $123.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.0) is in line with its historical norms (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $123.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $123.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$117.25 -
$123.31
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($124.61)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$117.25 -
$123.31
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.34
Resistance Level
$123.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.98
Wall Street Target
$124.61
(+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
167.8%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 22.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.91
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$124.01
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$125.13
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$121.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: -11.1%)
$88.80
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: -11.1%)
$84.66
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: -11.1%)
$71.96
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.58
Bull Case
$156.32
(+29%)
Analyst growth 15.8%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$142.11
(+18%)
Market implied 15.8%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$83.42
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Garza Alfonso Garza
SELL
52311 shares
2026-03-27
Garza Alfonso Garza
SELL
52316 shares
2026-03-25
Garza Alfonso Garza
SELL
52316 shares
2026-03-23
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