SAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SAM - Boston Beer Company
$180.62
3.01 (1.69%)
▲
5d:
-1.12%
30d:
-2.91%
90d:
-18.5%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
Get Alerted When SAM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 49% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SAM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.2% annual earnings decline despite 49% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$340.50
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$211.42
14.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SAM is currently trading at $180.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $168.83 to $183.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.3) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $158.68, while resistance sits at $187.99.
Market Sentiment: SAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $230.39 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SAM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $158.68, while resistance sits at $187.99.
Market Sentiment: SAM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $230.39 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$168.83 -
$183.62
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.6% below Wall St target ($230.39)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$168.83 -
$183.62
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$158.68
Resistance Level
$187.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.29
Wall Street Target
$230.39
(+27.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.6%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.23
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$162.32
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$153.88
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$180.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.1%)
$377.58
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 16.1%)
$282.45
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 16.1%)
$240.08
(+33%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.3 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$211.74
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Beverages - Brewers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Beverages - Brewers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
STZ
Constellation Brands Inc… |
BUY
26 analysts |
$176 | 62 BUY |
|
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Co … |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$46 | 57 HOLD |
|
BUD
Anheuser Busch Inbev NV … |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$93 | 60 BUY |
|
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexica… |
BUY
13 analysts |
$125 | 63 BUY |
|
ABEV
Ambev SA ADR |
HOLD
12 analysts |
$3 | 57 HOLD |
