BUD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BUD - Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV
$84.02
-2.46 (-2.84%)
▼
5d:
+3.9%
30d:
+3.31%
90d:
+11.2%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BUD is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BUD is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.33
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BUD is currently trading at $84.02, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.64 to $83.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.6) is in line with its historical norms (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $79.83, while resistance sits at $86.60.
Market Sentiment: BUD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BUD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $79.83, while resistance sits at $86.60.
Market Sentiment: BUD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$79.64 -
$83.96
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($94.13)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$79.64 -
$83.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.83
Resistance Level
$86.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.63
Wall Street Target
$94.13
(+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.3%
Profit Margin
11.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 16.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.16
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$91.92
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$94.77
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.8%)
$142.19
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 11.8%)
$120.92
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 11.8%)
$102.78
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.66
Bull Case
$127.00
(+47%)
Analyst growth 34.0%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case
$115.46
(+34%)
Market implied 34.0%, PE stable at 23.5
Bear Case
$58.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BUD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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