G-Iii Apparel Group (GIII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$27.37
-0.20 (-0.73%)
▼
5d:
+0.92%
30d:
-3.86%
90d:
-18.54%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 02, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GIII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GIII shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.80
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $27.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.46 to $31.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 84.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.33 (+36.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.33 (+36.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$26.46 -
$31.04
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.4% below Wall St target ($37.33)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 14% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.46 -
$31.04
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.63
Resistance Level
$28.59
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.34
Wall Street Target
$37.33
(+36.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.0%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.58
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$25.81
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$25.06
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$27.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 1.0%)
$61.62
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 1.0%)
$28.22
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 1.0%)
$23.99
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.09
Bull Case
$28.75
(+5%)
Analyst growth -5.2%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$26.14
(-5%)
Market implied -5.2%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$18.75
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$29.88
(+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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