GIII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$33.78
0.60 (1.81%)
▲
5d:
-0.35%
30d:
-2.03%
90d:
+10.86%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GIII is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GIII is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.80
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $33.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.06 to $36.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.74, while resistance sits at $35.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+16.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $32.74, while resistance sits at $35.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.33 (+16.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.06 -
$36.29
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($39.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.06 -
$36.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.74
Resistance Level
$35.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.53
Wall Street Target
$39.33
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
782.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.13
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$36.54
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$38.00
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.61
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 1.0%)
$60.62
(+80%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 1.0%)
$34.83
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 1.0%)
$29.60
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.76
Bull Case
$38.74
(+15%)
Analyst growth 6.1%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$35.22
(+4%)
Market implied 6.1%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$22.56
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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