G-Iii Apparel Group (GIII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GIII - G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
$29.78
1.34 (4.71%)
▲
5d:
+4.86%
30d:
+10.54%
90d:
-14.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 08, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GIII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GIII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.47
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $29.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.95 to $28.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.75 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.75 (+16.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.95 -
$28.30
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.95 -
$28.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.81
Resistance Level
$29.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.17
Wall Street Target
$34.75
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.0%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.81
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$29.84
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$29.87
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.0%)
$59.99
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 1.0%)
$30.70
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 1.0%)
$26.10
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$29.85
(+0%)
Analyst growth -4.6%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$27.14
(-9%)
Market implied -4.6%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$19.34
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:14 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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