GIII
G-Iii Apparel Group Ltd
APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL
G-Iii Apparel Group (GIII) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.50
-0.39 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
-1.62%
30d:
+14.55%
90d:
-7.08%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
35/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$27.54 – $31.44
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.8x
FAIR
vs 10.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$34.75
+10.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$30.17 / $33.65
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GIII shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.80
Based on 2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GIII is currently trading at $31.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.54 to $31.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.17, while resistance sits at $33.65.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.75 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GIII is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $30.17, while resistance sits at $33.65.
Market Sentiment: GIII scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.75 (+10.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.54 -
$31.44
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$27.54 -
$31.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$30.17
Resistance Level
$33.65
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.75
Wall Street Target
$34.75
(+10.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.0%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.07
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$32.64
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$33.23
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1.0%)
$59.99
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 1.0%)
$32.48
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 1.0%)
$27.61
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$33.80
(+6%)
Analyst growth -4.6%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$30.73
(-4%)
Market implied -4.6%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$21.90
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GIII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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