Canada Goose (GOOS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GOOS - Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
$7.93
0.30 (3.93%)
▲
5d:
-2.7%
30d:
-8.22%
90d:
-22.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GOOS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GOOS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.97
38.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GOOS is currently trading at $7.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.02 to $8.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.53, while resistance sits at $8.32. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: GOOS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.49 (+19.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.53, while resistance sits at $8.32. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: GOOS scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.49 (+19.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.02 -
$8.74
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($9.49)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.02 -
$8.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.53
Resistance Level
$8.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.79
Wall Street Target
$9.49
(+19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.18
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.49
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$5.88
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$7.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 25.7%)
$29.45
(+271%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 25.7%)
$15.75
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 25.7%)
$13.39
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$14.34
(+81%)
Analyst growth 70.9%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$13.04
(+64%)
Market implied 70.9%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$5.19
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$10.73
(+35.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:41 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is GOOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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