GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl
Canada Goose (GOOS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$8.28
-0.27 (-3.16%)
▼
5d:
-7.59%
30d:
+4.81%
90d:
-5.26%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$7.69 – $8.40
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.3x
CHEAP
vs 13.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$9.88
+19.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.00 / $9.50
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GOOS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.35
33.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GOOS is currently trading at $8.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.69 to $8.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (13.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.00, while resistance sits at $9.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: GOOS scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.88 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.00, while resistance sits at $9.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: GOOS scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.88 (+19.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.69 -
$8.40
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.69 -
$8.40
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$8.00
Resistance Level
$9.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($9.88)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.27
Wall Street Target
$9.88
(+19.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 13.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.73
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$7.21
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$6.72
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→14)
$8.30
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.7%)
$28.99
(+250%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 25.7%)
$16.45
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 25.7%)
$13.98
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.39
Bull Case
$17.72
(+114%)
Analyst growth 88.4%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$16.11
(+95%)
Market implied 88.4%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$5.81
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 13.9
Stabilization Target:
$10.22
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (GOOS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates on StockTwits regarding $GOOS, with no recent positive news to offset the negative sentiment.
Key Retail Themes:
Negative sentiment towards the company
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GOOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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