Canada Goose (GOOS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GOOS - Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
$7.66
-0.10 (-1.29%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.66%
30d:
-6.01%
90d:
-21.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GOOS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GOOS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -9.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.71
39.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GOOS is currently trading at $7.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.52 to $8.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.41, while resistance sits at $7.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.49 (+23.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.41, while resistance sits at $7.92.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.49 (+23.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.52 -
$8.07
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.9% below Wall St target ($9.49)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.52 -
$8.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.41
Resistance Level
$7.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.42
Wall Street Target
$9.49
(+23.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 14.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.22
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â14)
$7.69
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 25.7%)
$29.78
(+289%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 25.7%)
$15.22
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 25.7%)
$12.93
(+69%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$14.94
(+95%)
Analyst growth 75.0%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$13.58
(+77%)
Market implied 75.0%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$5.28
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.51
(+37.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+37.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GOOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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