GOOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GOOS - Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
$9.38
0.15 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
-7.04%
30d:
-4.38%
90d:
-14.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GOOS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GOOS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.77
31.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GOOS is currently trading at $9.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.57 to $10.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GOOS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GOOS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$9.57 -
$10.36
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($9.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.57 -
$10.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.61
Resistance Level
$10.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.76
Wall Street Target
$9.50
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.0%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 15.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.78
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$8.22
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$7.69
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→16)
$9.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.7%)
$31.80
(+239%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 25.7%)
$18.63
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 25.7%)
$15.84
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.03
Bull Case
$11.33
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$9.38
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$7.18
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$11.39
(+21.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GOOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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