GPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPN - Global Payments, Inc.
$76.85
0.81 (1.07%)
▲
5d:
-0.72%
30d:
+23.02%
90d:
+17.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.54
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.57
2.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPN is currently trading at $76.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.97 to $74.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.8) is in line with its historical norms (4.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.65, while resistance sits at $79.31.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.56 (+20.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.65, while resistance sits at $79.31.
Market Sentiment: GPN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.56 (+20.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$64.97 -
$74.59
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.4% below Wall St target ($92.56)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.97 -
$74.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.65
Resistance Level
$79.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.76
Wall Street Target
$92.56
(+20.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.2%
Profit Margin
-8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 4.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.77
(0%)
2-Year Target
$76.70
(0%)
3-Year Target
$76.62
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$77.25
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.8%)
$560.54
(+629%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 16.8%)
$122.52
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 16.8%)
$104.14
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.72
Bull Case
$167.29
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.8
Base Case
$152.08
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.0
Bear Case
$51.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 4.8
Stabilization Target:
$77.49
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
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BUY
2026-03-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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