CTAS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTAS - Cintas Corp
$183.75
4.11 (2.29%)
▲
5d:
+3.09%
30d:
+1.86%
90d:
+5.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
1d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CTAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CTAS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$194.44
Based on 7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$120.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTAS is currently trading at $183.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $170.95 to $180.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.9) is in line with its historical norms (34.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTAS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $184.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CTAS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $208.69 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTAS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $184.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CTAS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $208.69 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$170.95 -
$180.60
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CTAS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($208.69)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$170.95 -
$180.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$169.30
Resistance Level
$184.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.87
Wall Street Target
$208.69
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.9 vs 34.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$182.83
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$181.92
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$181.01
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→34)
$183.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.9, Growth: 11.0%)
$251.00
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.0%)
$161.39
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.0%)
$137.18
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.74
Bull Case
$223.69
(+25%)
Analyst growth 14.4%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$203.36
(+13%)
Market implied 14.4%, PE stable at 37.5
Bear Case
$120.83
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.9 to 34.4
Stabilization Target:
$186.61
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ronald W Tysoe
SELL
4666 shares
2026-04-20
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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