TRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TRI - Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares

Miscellaneous Publishing
$97.35
1.64 (1.71%) β–²
5d: -12.89%
30d: -5.13%
90d: +21.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TRI is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.66
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.62
4.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TRI is currently trading at $97.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.65 to $107.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (20.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $95.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: TRI scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $122.29 (+25.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $99.65 - $107.32
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($122.29)
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $99.65 - $107.32
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $95.66
Resistance Level $112.77
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.15
Wall Street Target $122.29 (+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 47.2%
Profit Margin 21.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 19.2 vs 20.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $94.82 (-3%)
2-Year Target $92.35 (-5%)
3-Year Target $89.95 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19β†’21) $97.23 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.6%) $154.21 (+58%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.2, Growth: 14.6%) $146.42 (+50%)
Bear: (PE: 16.3, Growth: 14.6%) $124.45 (+28%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case $142.71 (+47%)
Analyst growth 35.6%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case $129.74 (+33%)
Market implied 35.6%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case $65.08 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.2 to 20.7
Stabilization Target: $105.22 (+8.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.1%
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 6:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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