TRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRI - Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares
$101.61
3.48 (3.55%)
▲
5d:
+3.94%
30d:
+13.9%
90d:
+7.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
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Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$160.64
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRI is currently trading at $101.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.27 to $98.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $84.63, while resistance sits at $108.29. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.50 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $84.63, while resistance sits at $108.29. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.50 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$85.27 -
$98.52
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($119.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.27 -
$98.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.63
Resistance Level
$108.29
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.19
Wall Street Target
$119.50
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 20.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.59
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$99.59
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$98.59
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$101.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.0%)
$154.69
(+52%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$150.66
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$128.06
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.48
Bull Case
$156.10
(+54%)
Analyst growth 44.6%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case
$141.91
(+40%)
Market implied 44.6%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$66.73
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$104.68
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 8:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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