Global Payments (GPN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPN - Global Payments, Inc.
$80.29
-1.38 (-1.69%)
▼
5d:
-5.88%
30d:
-10.85%
90d:
+2.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GPN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.54
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.43
0.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPN is currently trading at $80.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.37 to $92.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.0) is in line with its historical norms (4.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.00 (+30.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $79.97. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.00 (+30.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$84.37 -
$92.00
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.8% below Wall St target ($105.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 68.6% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (40/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.37 -
$92.00
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.97
Resistance Level
$86.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.01
Wall Street Target
$105.00
(+30.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
68.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-95.2%
Profit Margin
-9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
5.0 vs 4.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.61
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$80.93
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$81.26
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.40
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 17.3%)
$527.10
(+557%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.0, Growth: 17.3%)
$129.58
(+61%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: 17.3%)
$110.14
(+37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.07
Bull Case
$179.67
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.4
Base Case
$163.34
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case
$55.54
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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