GPN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GPN - Global Payments, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$93.49
1.21 (1.31%) ▲
5d: +0.47%
30d: +20.07%
90d: +28.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $90.48 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: GPN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.35
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.46
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GPN is currently trading at $93.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.10 to $90.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.9) compared to its historical average (4.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: GPN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $80.10 - $90.74
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($101.71)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.5% growth with 68.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $80.10 - $90.74
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $84.20
Resistance Level $95.58
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.87
Wall Street Target $101.71 (+8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 68.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -95.2%
Profit Margin -9.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.5% premium
PE vs Historical 5.9 vs 4.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $99.57 (+7%)
2-Year Target $106.04 (+13%)
3-Year Target $112.93 (+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→5) PE COMPRESSION $94.29 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 16.4%) $504.21 (+439%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.9, Growth: 16.4%) $147.44 (+58%)
Bear: (PE: 4.9, Growth: 16.4%) $123.10 (+32%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.12
Bull Case $203.02 (+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.9
Base Case $184.56 (+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.5
Bear Case $62.75 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 1:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:52 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-10

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Advanced GPN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GPN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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