Is ARMK stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ARMK is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ARMK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of ARMK stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ARMK to be between $55.87 and $59.04. The current price is $62.39.

What is the analyst price target for ARMK?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ARMK is $61.56. This implies a potential upside of -1.3% from current levels.

ARMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ARMK - ARAMARK

RETAIL-EATING PLACES

$62.39

1.28 (2.09%) ▲

5d: +11.51%

30d: +9.48%

90d: +18.39%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your ARMK Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 11, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 11, 2026 at $60.47 · last confirmed Aug 12, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ARMK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 20.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$84.27

Based on 12.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$52.33

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $62.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.87 to $59.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ARMK scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $55.87 - $59.04

Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 18.1%

Protect Your Profits

ARMK is technically overbought (RSI 76). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($61.56)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.3% growth which is achievable
WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $55.87 - $59.04

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $55.22

Resistance Level $62.65

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.01

Wall Street Target $61.56 (-1.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.3%

Profit Margin 1.9%

Valuation Premium vs History +9.3% premium

PE vs Historical 23.0 vs 17.6 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +9.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $68.19 (+9%)

2-Year Target $74.53 (+20%)

3-Year Target $81.47 (+31%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→18) PE COMPRESSION $62.30 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 23.0, Growth: 20.4%) $108.77 (+74%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 20.4%) $95.61 (+53%)

Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 20.4%) $81.27 (+30%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 42.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.45

Bull Case $125.68 (+101%)

Analyst growth 87.0%, PE expands to 46.4

Base Case $114.25 (+83%)

Market implied 87.0%, PE stable at 42.1

Bear Case $41.55 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: August 16, 2026 2:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

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Advanced ARMK Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ARMK price and gamma walls.

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