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ARAMARK (ARMK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$54.22
-0.52 (-0.95%) ▼
5d: -0.71% 30d: -0.99% 90d: -10.16%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$53.23 – $55.90
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.3x FAIR
vs 18.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$68.53
+26.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$50.01 / $56.54
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARMK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.29
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.79
9.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $54.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.23 to $55.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.01, while resistance sits at $56.54.

Market Sentiment: ARMK scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.53 (+26.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $53.23 - $55.90
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $53.23 - $55.90
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $50.01
Resistance Level $56.54
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($68.53)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.32
Wall Street Target $68.53 (+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.3%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.9% premium
PE vs Historical 19.3 vs 18.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $55.25 (+2%)
2-Year Target $56.30 (+4%)
3-Year Target $57.37 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $54.34 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.2%) $104.12 (+92%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 23.2%) $101.29 (+87%)
Bear: (PE: 16.4, Growth: 23.2%) $86.09 (+59%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case $118.17 (+118%)
Analyst growth 96.3%, PE expands to 42.1
Base Case $107.43 (+98%)
Market implied 96.3%, PE stable at 38.3
Bear Case $37.22 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ARMK)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jun 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits shows a bullish sentiment towards $ARMK with one user predicting a positive trend for the upcoming week.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive ARMK Research Pages
ARMK Technical Chart ARMK Price Prediction ARMK Intrinsic Value DCF ARMK Earnings Date ARMK Investment Advisor ARMK Fair Price Analyzer ARMK Options Chain ARMK Options Advisor ARMK Options Analysis ARMK Competitors
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