ARAMARK (ARMK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARMK - ARAMARK
$54.59
1.04 (1.94%)
▲
5d:
+0.5%
30d:
-3.59%
90d:
-3.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ARMK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ARMK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.56
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.96
9.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $54.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.21 to $58.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.4) is in line with its historical norms (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ARMK scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.50 (+25.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ARMK scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.50 (+25.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$55.21 -
$58.45
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ARMK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($68.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.21 -
$58.45
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.25
Resistance Level
$57.11
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.39
Wall Street Target
$68.50
(+25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 18.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.85
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$57.13
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$58.44
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$54.56
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 23.7%)
$108.60
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 23.7%)
$103.22
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 23.7%)
$87.74
(+61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.41
Bull Case
$117.62
(+116%)
Analyst growth 99.7%, PE expands to 41.8
Base Case
$106.93
(+96%)
Market implied 99.7%, PE stable at 38.0
Bear Case
$36.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ARMK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ARMK price and gamma walls.
