ARAMARK (ARMK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARMK - ARAMARK
$58.55
1.79 (3.15%)
▲
5d:
+2.22%
30d:
-2.98%
90d:
+7.37%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARMK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ARMK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.59
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.73
0.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARMK is currently trading at $58.55, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.46 to $60.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.9) compared to its historical average (18.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARMK scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.97 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARMK scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.97 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$56.46 -
$60.21
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.97)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.2% growth which is achievable
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 73/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.46 -
$60.21
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.93
Resistance Level
$59.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.89
Wall Street Target
$67.97
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.2% premium
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 18.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.59
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$64.80
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$68.17
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 23.2%)
$109.42
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 23.2%)
$105.64
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 23.2%)
$89.80
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.42
Bull Case
$123.23
(+111%)
Analyst growth 97.4%, PE expands to 44.0
Base Case
$112.03
(+91%)
Market implied 97.4%, PE stable at 40.0
Bear Case
$38.60
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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