H Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

H - Hyatt Hotels Corporation

HOTELS & MOTELS
$174.06
-2.62 (-1.48%) ▼
5d: -6.98%
30d: -8.8%
90d: +3.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: H shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$240.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$149.39
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: H is currently trading at $174.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $184.55 to $195.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.2) is in line with its historical norms (39.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, H is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $164.87, while resistance sits at $193.44.

Market Sentiment: H has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $198.70 (+14.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $184.55 - $195.67
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($198.70)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.0%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $184.55 - $195.67
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $164.87
Resistance Level $193.44
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.22
Wall Street Target $198.70 (+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 110.5%
Profit Margin -1.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 35.2 vs 39.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $168.32 (-3%)
2-Year Target $162.76 (-7%)
3-Year Target $157.39 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 35→39) $174.28 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 35.2, Growth: 36.7%) $444.87 (+156%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 36.7%) $261.84 (+50%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 36.7%) $222.56 (+28%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.2 to 39.0
Stabilization Target: $192.73 (+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +10.7%
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jnp 2010-Pg Trust SELL 213434 shares 2026-04-17
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-23
Kinsey Wolf SELL 400 shares 2026-03-19

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