HAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAL - Halliburton Company
$41.03
0.90 (2.24%)
▲
5d:
+3.61%
30d:
-2.26%
90d:
+19.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$73.03
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.34
9.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAL is currently trading at $41.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.85 to $42.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.55, while resistance sits at $43.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.55, while resistance sits at $43.59.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$39.85 -
$42.12
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($43.68)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.85 -
$42.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.56
Resistance Level
$43.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.10
Wall Street Target
$43.68
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
133.5%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.65
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$42.27
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$42.90
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 22.8%)
$118.18
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 22.8%)
$76.07
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 22.8%)
$64.66
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.81
Bull Case
$69.88
(+78%)
Analyst growth 60.4%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$63.52
(+62%)
Market implied 60.4%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$26.93
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Allen Miller
SELL
158455 shares
2026-03-27
Jeffrey Shannon Slocum
SELL
5441 shares
2026-03-16
Van H Beckwith
SELL
19618 shares
2026-03-16
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Advanced HAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HAL price and gamma walls.
