NOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOV - NOV Inc.
$20.82
0.37 (1.81%)
▲
5d:
+2.92%
30d:
+4.36%
90d:
+6.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NOV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NOV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.70
12.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOV is currently trading at $20.82, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.89 to $20.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.89 -
$20.90
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NOV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.45)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with -2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.89 -
$20.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.77
Resistance Level
$21.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.36
Wall Street Target
$21.45
(+3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.7%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.26
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.70
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$22.16
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.86
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 58.5%)
$94.10
(+352%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 58.5%)
$70.27
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 58.5%)
$59.73
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 22.73 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.89
Bull Case
$24.46
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$20.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.7
Bear Case
$15.50
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig L Weinstock
SELL
70000 shares
2026-02-23
Joseph W Rovig
SELL
151086 shares
2026-02-23
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