TS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TS - Tenaris S. A.
$52.66
-0.02 (-0.04%)
▼
5d:
-1.72%
30d:
-8.19%
90d:
-14.75%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.86
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.69
0.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TS is currently trading at $52.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.60 to $57.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.9) compared to its historical average (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TS scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.33 (+22.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TS scores 71/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.33 (+22.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$53.60 -
$57.30
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (71/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($64.33)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 71/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.60 -
$57.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.07
Resistance Level
$54.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.88
Wall Street Target
$64.33
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Profit Margin
15.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 14.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.57
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$48.55
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$46.61
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$52.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.9%)
$111.88
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 10.9%)
$71.78
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 10.9%)
$61.01
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case
$63.71
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.1%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$57.92
(+10%)
Market implied 9.1%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$36.10
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.9 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$59.32
(+12.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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