Is MU stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MU is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MU stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MU to be between $925.90 and $1019.60. The current price is $1070.33.

What is the analyst price target for MU?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MU is $1515.00. This implies a potential upside of 38.2% from current levels.

Micron Technology (MU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MU - Micron Technology, Inc.

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

$1070.33

-25.83 (-2.36%) ▼

5d: +15.52%

30d: +17.56%

90d: +2.08%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 30, 2026 6d

NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

See why MU plays a critical role in the upcoming CPU supercycle alongside GPUs. Read Deep Dive →

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $974.49 · last confirmed Sep 21, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$2599.69

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$1614.20

33.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MU is currently trading at $1070.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $925.90 to $1019.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1368.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $902.60, while resistance sits at $1105.50.

Market Sentiment: MU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $1515.00 (+38.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $925.90 - $1019.60

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 38.2% below Wall St target ($1515.00)
WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $925.90 - $1019.60

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $902.60

Resistance Level $1105.50

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.90

Wall Street Target $1515.00 (+38.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 345.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 1368.5%

Profit Margin 55.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 6.9 vs 8.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $1026.01 (-6%)

2-Year Target $960.34 (-12%)

3-Year Target $898.88 (-18%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→8) $1094.72 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 116.2%) $10920.63 (+896%)

Base: (SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 116.2%) $3699.54 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 5.9, Growth: 116.2%) $3144.61 (+187%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 23.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $44.29

Bull Case $2296.71 (+110%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.9

Base Case $2087.92 (+91%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.6

Bear Case $709.89 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 8.4

Stabilization Target: $1334.98 (+21.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +21.8%

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Last updated: September 23, 2026 3:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Sumit Sadana SELL 24000 shares 2026-04-10

April S Arnzen SELL 40000 shares 2026-04-01

John Fetterman BUY 2026-03-30

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