HPQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HPQ - HP Inc.
$29.71
0.24 (0.81%)
â˛
5d:
-1.33%
30d:
+21.22%
90d:
+35.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
2d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $30.05 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HPQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HPQ is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.03
Based on -13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HPQ is currently trading at $29.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.23 to $29.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.30, while resistance sits at $32.19.
Market Sentiment: HPQ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $23.10. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HPQ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.30, while resistance sits at $32.19.
Market Sentiment: HPQ scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $23.10. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$25.23 -
$29.75
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
32.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HPQ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 22.2% above Wall St target ($23.10)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.7% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.23 -
$29.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.31
Resistance Level
$32.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.88
Wall Street Target
$23.10
(-22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 7.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.89
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$36.41
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$40.30
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â7)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.78
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -31.2%)
$59.79
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -31.2%)
$29.43
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: -31.2%)
$21.75
(-27%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.66
Bull Case
$36.65
(+23%)
Analyst growth 13.0%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$33.32
(+12%)
Market implied 13.0%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case
$20.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HPQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HPQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HPQ price and gamma walls.
