DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$427.78
9.07 (2.17%)
▲
5d:
+4.57%
30d:
+69.22%
90d:
+159.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 30.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DELL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 30.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$307.28
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$190.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $427.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $290.65 to $434.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.5) compared to its historical average (17.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 30.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $357.07, while resistance sits at $444.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $485.09 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $357.07, while resistance sits at $444.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $485.09 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$290.65 -
$434.06
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($485.09)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 30.0% growth expectation is conservative given 282% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$290.65 -
$434.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$357.07
Resistance Level
$444.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.47
Wall Street Target
$485.09
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
282.5%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+30.0% premium
PE vs Historical
37.5 vs 17.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+30.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$556.11
(+30%)
2-Year Target
$722.95
(+69%)
3-Year Target
$939.83
(+120%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$426.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.5, Growth: 15.4%)
$656.96
(+54%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$381.86
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 15.4%)
$298.05
(-30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.56
Bull Case
$410.15
(-4%)
Analyst growth -9.1%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$372.87
(-13%)
Market implied -9.1%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$278.95
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
382000 shares
2026-04-16
Jeffrey W Clarke
SELL
116000 shares
2026-04-15
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
458666 shares
2026-04-15
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