LILAK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LILAK - Liberty Latin America Ltd. Class C Common Stock

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$8.26
0.19 (2.29%) ▲
5d: +7.49%
30d: +8.19%
90d: -2.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LILAK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.08
41.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LILAK is currently trading at $8.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.70 to $7.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LILAK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LILAK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.70. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $6.70 - $7.91
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 16.1% above Wall St target ($6.70)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.70 - $7.91
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.09
Resistance Level $8.45
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.19
Wall Street Target $6.70 (-16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.5%
Profit Margin -11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.2 vs 13.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.19 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.47 (-19%)
3-Year Target $5.82 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→13) $8.49 (+6%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.8, Growth: 434.9%) $61.05 (+664%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 434.9%) $26.97 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: 434.9%) $22.92 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 13.4
Stabilization Target: $11.65 (+45.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +45.8%
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 1:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:28 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian D Zook SELL 94494 shares 2026-02-20

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