CMCSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMCSA - Comcast Corp
$24.62
0.65 (2.73%)
▲
5d:
+7.96%
30d:
+3.47%
90d:
-9.47%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMCSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CMCSA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.26
Based on 3.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMCSA is currently trading at $24.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.94 to $24.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMCSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.09 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CMCSA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.09 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.94 -
$24.22
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($30.09)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.94 -
$24.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.28
Resistance Level
$24.90
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.61
Wall Street Target
$30.09
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.8%
Profit Margin
9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 7.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.48
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$23.01
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$22.55
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$23.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 3.2%)
$82.58
(+245%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 3.2%)
$26.35
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 3.2%)
$22.40
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.00
Bull Case
$31.44
(+31%)
Analyst growth 20.7%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$28.58
(+19%)
Market implied 20.7%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$16.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$25.36
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMCSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-17
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2026-02-26
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMCSA price and gamma walls.
