LNG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LNG - Cheniere Energy Inc
$258.08
-5.49 (-2.08%)
▼
5d:
+0.86%
30d:
+4.92%
90d:
-4.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LNG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LNG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$396.40
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$246.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LNG is currently trading at $258.08, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $241.52 to $265.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 146.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $249.61, while resistance sits at $276.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $304.14 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LNG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $249.61, while resistance sits at $276.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $304.14 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$241.52 -
$265.24
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($304.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$241.52 -
$265.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$249.61
Resistance Level
$276.90
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.07
Wall Street Target
$304.14
(+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
146.4%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.1 vs 14.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$250.58
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$243.31
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$236.25
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$258.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$547.80
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$344.16
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$292.54
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.05
Bull Case
$568.94
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.0
Base Case
$517.22
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.8
Bear Case
$175.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$282.25
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LNG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Zach Davis
SELL
29000 shares
2026-03-30
Sean N Markowitz
SELL
22246 shares
2026-03-26
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