KMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMI - Kinder Morgan, Inc.
$31.56
-0.62 (-1.93%)
▼
5d:
-0.6%
30d:
-1.56%
90d:
-2.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.09
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMI is currently trading at $31.56, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.90 to $32.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.9) is in line with its historical norms (21.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.62 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.25. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.62 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$31.90 -
$32.70
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.90 -
$32.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.25
Resistance Level
$33.26
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.92
Wall Street Target
$35.62
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
19.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.9 vs 21.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.02
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$31.86
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$31.70
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→21)
$32.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: -1.2%)
$31.07
(+-3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: -1.2%)
$30.79
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: -1.2%)
$26.17
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 20.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.54
Bull Case
$34.78
(+8%)
Analyst growth -0.1%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$31.62
(-2%)
Market implied -0.1%, PE stable at 20.6
Bear Case
$21.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.9 to 21.3
Stabilization Target:
$32.76
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Garthwaite
SELL
1550 shares
2026-04-16
John W Schlosser
SELL
6166 shares
2026-04-06
Michael P Garthwaite
SELL
1550 shares
2026-03-16
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