KMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMI - Kinder Morgan, Inc.
$30.98
-0.63 (-1.99%)
▼
5d:
-5.61%
30d:
-5.46%
90d:
-7.52%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $30.85 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KMI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KMI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.82
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMI is currently trading at $30.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.40 to $32.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.81 (+15.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.81 (+15.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.40 -
$32.56
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KMI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.81)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.40 -
$32.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.84
Resistance Level
$33.06
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.15
Wall Street Target
$35.81
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
19.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 21.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.45
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$29.94
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$29.43
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→21)
$30.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -1.3%)
$29.80
(+-4%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -1.3%)
$29.67
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -1.3%)
$25.22
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$34.94
(+13%)
Analyst growth 0.5%, PE expands to 22.7
Base Case
$31.76
(+3%)
Market implied 0.5%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$21.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$32.59
(+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Garthwaite
SELL
1550 shares
2026-04-16
John W Schlosser
SELL
6166 shares
2026-04-06
Michael P Garthwaite
SELL
1550 shares
2026-03-16
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Advanced KMI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KMI price and gamma walls.
