LULU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LULU - lululemon athletica inc.
$120.30
1.04 (0.87%)
▲
5d:
+4.03%
30d:
+1.15%
90d:
-26.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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4 traders called LULU this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LULU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: LULU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.31
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $120.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.81 to $120.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $109.36, while resistance sits at $136.14.
Market Sentiment: LULU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $109.36, while resistance sits at $136.14.
Market Sentiment: LULU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$111.81 -
$120.01
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LULU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($130.65)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.81 -
$120.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.36
Resistance Level
$136.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.58
Wall Street Target
$130.65
(+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.0%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$110.56
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$101.60
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$93.37
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$119.86
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.7%)
$244.56
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: -3.7%)
$107.59
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: -3.7%)
$91.45
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.36
Bull Case
$133.26
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.6%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$121.15
(+1%)
Market implied 1.6%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$81.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$154.43
(+28.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LULU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Nicole Neuburger
SELL
622 shares
2026-04-08
Andre Maestrini
BUY
3275 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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