BOOT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BOOT - Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
$158.60
9.61 (6.45%)
▲
5d:
+2.24%
30d:
+0.56%
90d:
-7.51%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When BOOT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOOT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.2% annual earnings decline despite 32% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BOOT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.2% annual earnings decline despite 32% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$290.26
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$180.23
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOOT is currently trading at $158.60, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $150.46 to $168.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOOT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $143.87, while resistance sits at $164.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.71 (+39.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOOT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $143.87, while resistance sits at $164.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.71 (+39.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$150.46 -
$168.71
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.2% below Wall St target ($220.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$150.46 -
$168.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$143.87
Resistance Level
$164.61
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.63
Wall Street Target
$220.71
(+39.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.6%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 21.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$151.94
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$145.56
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$139.44
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$158.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.1%)
$275.87
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 16.1%)
$247.90
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 16.1%)
$210.71
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.90
Bull Case
$176.63
(+11%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$160.57
(+1%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$101.31
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$180.50
(+13.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BOOT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
BUY
36 analysts |
$128 | 53 HOLD |
|
TJX
The TJX Companies Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$177 | 55 HOLD |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$256 | 51 HOLD |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$372 | 56 HOLD |
|
GAP
The Gap, Inc. |
HOLD
19 analysts |
$27 | 47 HOLD |
Advanced BOOT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BOOT price and gamma walls.
