M
Macy's Inc.
RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES
Macy's (M) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$24.85
-0.23 (-0.92%)
▼
5d:
-3.31%
30d:
+9.28%
90d:
+4.24%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 02, 2026
19d
Protect M Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$22.89 – $24.58
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.6x
STRETCHED
vs 10.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$23.10
-7.0% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$23.03 / $26.10
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: M shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 12, 2026 at $22.99 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.96
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: M is currently trading at $24.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.89 to $24.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, M is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.02, while resistance sits at $26.10.
Market Sentiment: M scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, M is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.02, while resistance sits at $26.10.
Market Sentiment: M scores 29/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.89 -
$24.58
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$22.89 -
$24.58
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$23.03
Resistance Level
$26.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (29/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($23.10)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.61
Wall Street Target
$23.10
(-7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 10.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.12
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$27.45
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$28.85
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -2.9%)
$38.90
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: -2.9%)
$22.75
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: -2.9%)
$19.34
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.74
Bull Case
$21.54
(-13%)
Analyst growth -21.9%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$19.58
(-21%)
Market implied -21.9%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$17.05
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (M)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits is currently flooded with bullish sentiment towards $M.
Key Retail Themes:
StockTwits users expressing optimism about $M
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is M showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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