KSS Kohls Corporation RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES

Kohls (KSS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$23.50
-1.15 (-4.67%) â–ŧ
5d: -1.67% 30d: +11.11% 90d: +22.33%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$20.96 – $24.51
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.6x STRETCHED
vs 12.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$19.21
-18.3% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$22.91 / $25.60
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: KSS is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.55
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.69
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KSS is currently trading at $23.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.96 to $24.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KSS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: KSS scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $19.21. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $20.96 - $24.51
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $20.96 - $24.51
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $22.91
Resistance Level $25.60
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.7%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 18.3% above Wall St target ($19.21)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.6% growth with -0.9% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.55
Wall Street Target $19.21 (-18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.2%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.6% premium
PE vs Historical 16.6 vs 12.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.52 (+9%)
2-Year Target $27.72 (+18%)
3-Year Target $30.10 (+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→13) PE COMPRESSION $23.46 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -34.3%) $20.56 (+-13%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: -34.3%) $17.13 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 12.9, Growth: -34.3%) $13.35 (-43%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.33
Bull Case $16.53 (-30%)
Analyst growth -39.1%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case $15.02 (-36%)
Market implied -39.1%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case $16.76 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KSS)

Bullish 5 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
3
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits messages show bullish sentiment towards $KSS following an upgrade by Charles Grom at Gordon Haskett, with a price target of $27. The latest Yahoo Finance news reports reveal growing pressure on household budgets, with retailers offering military families savings.
Key Retail Themes: positive analyst coverage household budget pressure
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive KSS Research Pages
KSS Technical Chart KSS Price Prediction KSS Intrinsic Value DCF KSS Earnings Date Why is KSS Moving Today? KSS Investment Advisor KSS Fair Price Analyzer KSS Options Chain KSS Options Advisor KSS Options Analysis KSS Competitors
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