Kohls (KSS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KSS - Kohls Corporation

RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES
$24.58
-0.20 (-0.81%) β–Ό
5d: +13.85%
30d: +42.58%
90d: +32.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your KSS Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026 30d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 7, 2026 at $20.12 · last confirmed Oct 23, 2026

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: KSS is 12.7% above its trading range ($21.81). Market expects 11.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.43
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.61
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KSS is currently trading at $24.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.23 to $21.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.3) compared to its historical average (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KSS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: KSS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $18.62. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $17.23 - $21.81
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 12.9%

Protect Your Profits

KSS is technically overbought (RSI 77). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+12.7% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 24.2% above Wall St target ($18.62)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.0% growth with -0.9% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.23 - $21.81
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.91
Resistance Level $25.10
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.31
Wall Street Target $18.63 (-24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.2%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.0% premium
PE vs Historical 17.3 vs 12.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $27.28 (+11%)
2-Year Target $30.29 (+23%)
3-Year Target $33.62 (+37%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17β†’13) PE COMPRESSION $24.66 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -34.3%) $20.56 (+-16%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: -34.3%) $17.92 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 12.7, Growth: -34.3%) $13.15 (-47%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.38
Bull Case $16.26 (-34%)
Analyst growth -40.3%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case $14.78 (-40%)
Market implied -40.3%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case $16.85 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 11:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:40 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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