MMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MMC - Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc.

INSURANCE AGENTS, BROKERS & SERVICE
$182.70
-2.93 (-1.58%) â–ŧ
5d: -1.53%
30d: -0.42%
90d: -11.03%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jan 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MMC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$244.88
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$152.05
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MMC is currently trading at $182.70, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $180.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $210.71 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 65.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($210.71)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $180.61
Resistance Level $187.90
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jan 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.71
Wall Street Target $210.71 (+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.5%
Profit Margin 15.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.7 vs 18.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $181.58 (-1%)
2-Year Target $180.49 (-1%)
3-Year Target $179.40 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→18) $182.34 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 17.7, Growth: 7.4%) $226.16 (+24%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.4%) $285.28 (+56%)
Bear: (PE: 18.0, Growth: 7.4%) $229.86 (+26%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.7 to 18.0
Stabilization Target: $185.66 (+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.6%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:55 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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