BRO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BRO - Brown & Brown, Inc.
$70.40
-0.47 (-0.66%)
▼
5d:
+4.05%
30d:
+4.51%
90d:
+17.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BRO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.32
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BRO is currently trading at $70.40, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.54 to $70.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $64.82, while resistance sits at $75.63.
Market Sentiment: BRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BRO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $64.82, while resistance sits at $75.63.
Market Sentiment: BRO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$63.54 -
$70.93
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($75.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.54 -
$70.93
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.82
Resistance Level
$75.63
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.63
Wall Street Target
$75.63
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.1%
Profit Margin
18.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 14.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$71.96
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$72.75
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$70.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.5%)
$123.90
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 7.5%)
$87.46
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 7.5%)
$74.34
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.96
Bull Case
$126.71
(+80%)
Analyst growth 62.5%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$115.19
(+64%)
Market implied 62.5%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$48.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BRO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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