NEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEM - Newmont Corporation
$95.29
0.48 (0.51%)
▲
5d:
-1.8%
30d:
-3.3%
90d:
-19.93%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
9d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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1 traders called NEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.2% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.2% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$176.79
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.77
13.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEM is currently trading at $95.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.06 to $104.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $94.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.14 (+45.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $94.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.14 (+45.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$94.06 -
$104.87
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.0% below Wall St target ($138.14)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.06 -
$104.87
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$94.95
Resistance Level
$111.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.60
Wall Street Target
$138.14
(+45.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.6%
Profit Margin
33.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 11.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.48
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$80.30
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$73.72
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$95.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$330.97
(+247%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.1%)
$130.65
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.1%)
$111.05
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.71
Bull Case
$149.92
(+57%)
Analyst growth 43.8%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$136.29
(+43%)
Market implied 43.8%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$64.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$123.03
(+29.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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