AEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEM - Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd.
$147.42
2.15 (1.48%)
▲
5d:
+1.0%
30d:
-4.19%
90d:
-19.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.7% annual earnings decline despite 49% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEM appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -6.7% annual earnings decline despite 49% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$209.08
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$129.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEM is currently trading at $147.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.35 to $153.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $150.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $214.62 (+45.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $150.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AEM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $214.62 (+45.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$141.35 -
$153.00
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.6% below Wall St target ($214.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$141.35 -
$153.00
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.85
Resistance Level
$150.86
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.74
Wall Street Target
$214.62
(+45.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.4%
Profit Margin
40.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.54
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$128.33
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$119.73
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$146.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 1.9%)
$275.20
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 1.9%)
$155.86
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 1.9%)
$132.48
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.68
Bull Case
$171.79
(+17%)
Analyst growth 7.5%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$156.18
(+6%)
Market implied 7.5%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$98.78
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$180.82
(+22.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 4:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEM price and gamma walls.
