AEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEM - Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd.
$143.51
-3.36 (-2.29%)
▼
5d:
-7.38%
30d:
-5.88%
90d:
-34.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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1 traders called AEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AEM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AEM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$268.80
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$166.91
14.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEM is currently trading at $143.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.68 to $167.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 108.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $141.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AEM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $233.86 (+63.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $141.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AEM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $233.86 (+63.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$149.68 -
$167.52
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.0% below Wall St target ($233.86)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$149.68 -
$167.52
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$141.61
Resistance Level
$160.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.42
Wall Street Target
$233.86
(+63.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
108.6%
Profit Margin
39.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 14.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.16
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$116.24
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$104.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→15)
$148.57
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$371.92
(+159%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 7.4%)
$177.96
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$151.27
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.62
Bull Case
$209.48
(+46%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 15.2
Base Case
$190.43
(+33%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$99.87
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.4 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$203.80
(+42.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced AEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEM price and gamma walls.
