AEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEM - Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd.
$171.65
-7.29 (-4.07%)
▼
5d:
-1.86%
30d:
-4.6%
90d:
-26.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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1 traders called AEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$320.70
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$199.13
13.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEM is currently trading at $171.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $176.02 to $191.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 108.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $170.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $254.20 (+48.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $170.89. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $254.20 (+48.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$176.02 -
$191.58
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 48.1% below Wall St target ($254.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$176.02 -
$191.58
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$170.89
Resistance Level
$184.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.57
Wall Street Target
$254.20
(+48.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
108.6%
Profit Margin
39.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 15.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$155.51
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$140.90
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$127.65
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$172.19
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 9.5%)
$426.58
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 9.5%)
$225.17
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$191.39
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.62
Bull Case
$262.72
(+48%)
Analyst growth 36.5%, PE expands to 18.1
Base Case
$238.84
(+34%)
Market implied 36.5%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$118.94
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$231.54
(+34.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 11:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEM price and gamma walls.