Newmark Group (NMRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$11.55
-0.27 (-2.28%)
▼
5d:
-2.61%
30d:
-11.83%
90d:
-27.31%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NMRK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.73
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.49
14.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMRK is currently trading at $11.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.75 to $13.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (7.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NMRK scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.17 (+53.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NMRK scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.17 (+53.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.75 -
$13.57
Company Quality Score
75/100
(STRONG BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.7% below Wall St target ($18.17)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 69/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.75 -
$13.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.26
Resistance Level
$12.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.63
Wall Street Target
$18.17
(+53.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 7.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.79
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$9.85
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$9.00
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$11.83
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$55.32
(+368%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$15.67
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$13.32
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case
$25.26
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$22.96
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$7.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.6 to 7.4
Stabilization Target:
$15.55
(+31.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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