NMRK Newmark Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock REAL ESTATE AGENTS & MANAGERS (FOR OTHERS)

Newmark Group (NMRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$10.86
-0.41 (-3.64%) ▼
5d: -9.05% 30d: -6.22% 90d: -28.79%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$11.38 – $12.21
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.4x CHEAP
vs 7.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.75
+54.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.84 / $12.61
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: NMRK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.04
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.44
12.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NMRK is currently trading at $10.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.38 to $12.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.4) compared to its historical average (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.75 (+54.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $11.38 - $12.21
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $11.38 - $12.21
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $10.84
Resistance Level $12.61
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 54.2% below Wall St target ($16.75)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.0%) - monitor closely

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.39
Wall Street Target $16.75 (+54.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.8%
Profit Margin 4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.4 vs 7.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.82 (-10%)
2-Year Target $8.87 (-18%)
3-Year Target $8.02 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→7) $10.86 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.8%) $51.49 (+374%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.4, Growth: 8.8%) $13.98 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 4.6, Growth: 8.8%) $11.88 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case $24.90 (+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case $22.64 (+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.0
Bear Case $7.70 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.4 to 7.3
Stabilization Target: $14.70 (+35.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +35.4%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NMRK)

Neutral 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: NMRK reported earnings before the open with a beat of 1.9%, reporting adjusted EPS of $0.48 against the estimated $0.47.
Key Retail Themes: earnings report beats estimates
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive NMRK Research Pages
NMRK Technical Chart NMRK Price Prediction NMRK Intrinsic Value DCF NMRK Earnings Date Why is NMRK Moving Today? NMRK Investment Advisor NMRK Fair Price Analyzer NMRK Options Chain NMRK Options Advisor NMRK Options Analysis NMRK Competitors
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