Newmark Group (NMRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$14.42
0.25 (1.76%)
â˛
5d:
-3.32%
30d:
-2.7%
90d:
-2.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NMRK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NMRK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.49
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.83
8.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMRK is currently trading at $14.42, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.78 to $15.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.5) compared to its historical average (7.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NMRK scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.75 (+37.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NMRK scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.75 (+37.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.78 -
$15.86
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NMRK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.0% below Wall St target ($19.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.78 -
$15.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.09
Resistance Level
$15.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.53
Wall Street Target
$19.75
(+37.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 7.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.68
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$12.99
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$12.32
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â8)
$14.52
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.0%)
$64.25
(+346%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 13.0%)
$20.82
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 13.0%)
$17.69
(+23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$31.17
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$28.34
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$9.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 7.7
Stabilization Target:
$16.99
(+17.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 10:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NMRK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NMRK price and gamma walls.
