Newmark Group (NMRK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMRK - Newmark Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.65
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-3.14%
30d:
-12.76%
90d:
-18.91%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NMRK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NMRK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.83
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.42
18.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMRK is currently trading at $12.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.10 to $15.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (7.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.14, while resistance sits at $14.41.
Market Sentiment: NMRK scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.75 (+56.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMRK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.14, while resistance sits at $14.41.
Market Sentiment: NMRK scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.75 (+56.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.10 -
$15.33
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NMRK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 56.1% below Wall St target ($19.75)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 29% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.10 -
$15.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.15
Resistance Level
$14.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.73
Wall Street Target
$19.75
(+56.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.4%
Profit Margin
4.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 7.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.55
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$10.54
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$9.63
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$12.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.0%)
$64.99
(+414%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 13.0%)
$18.26
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.9, Growth: 13.0%)
$15.52
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$27.83
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.4
Base Case
$25.30
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$8.60
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 7.5
Stabilization Target:
$16.55
(+30.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMRK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NMRK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NMRK price and gamma walls.
