HAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HAL - Halliburton Company

OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
$35.17
0.24 (0.69%) β–²
5d: -11.19%
30d: -16.86%
90d: -3.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026 27d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HAL is down 11.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.14
Based on 13.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.03
23.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HAL is currently trading at $35.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.73 to $41.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 133.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $44.24 (+25.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $37.73 - $41.91
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($44.24)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $37.73 - $41.91
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $38.56
Resistance Level $41.46
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.03
Wall Street Target $44.24 (+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 133.5%
Profit Margin 7.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.0 vs 13.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $33.87 (-4%)
2-Year Target $32.62 (-7%)
3-Year Target $31.41 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12β†’14) $35.24 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.3%) $119.20 (+239%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 23.3%) $65.86 (+87%)
Bear: (PE: 10.2, Growth: 23.3%) $55.98 (+59%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.81
Bull Case $62.04 (+76%)
Analyst growth 61.5%, PE expands to 21.2
Base Case $56.40 (+60%)
Market implied 61.5%, PE stable at 19.3
Bear Case $23.75 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 13.5
Stabilization Target: $39.46 (+12.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.2%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Allen Miller SELL 158455 shares 2026-03-27
Jeffrey Shannon Slocum SELL 5441 shares 2026-03-16
Van H Beckwith SELL 19618 shares 2026-03-16

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