NOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOV - NOV Inc.
$19.65
-0.25 (-1.26%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.13%
30d:
+6.62%
90d:
+1.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NOV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NOV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.60
16.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOV is currently trading at $19.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.54 to $20.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $18.93, while resistance sits at $21.20.
Market Sentiment: NOV has a weak technical setup (20/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.02 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $18.93, while resistance sits at $21.20.
Market Sentiment: NOV has a weak technical setup (20/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.02 (+12.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.54 -
$20.05
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NOV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.02)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.54 -
$20.05
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.94
Resistance Level
$21.20
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.50
Wall Street Target
$22.03
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.71
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$19.77
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$19.83
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â15)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.70
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 45.1%)
$78.31
(+299%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 45.1%)
$60.01
(+205%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 45.1%)
$51.01
(+160%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.51 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.91
Bull Case
$23.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case
$19.65
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$15.03
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 5:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig L Weinstock
SELL
70000 shares
2026-02-23
Joseph W Rovig
SELL
151086 shares
2026-02-23
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