NOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOV - NOV Inc.
$19.13
0.24 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
+7.53%
30d:
-9.25%
90d:
-1.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
14d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.54
18.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOV is currently trading at $19.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.20 to $20.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.70 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOV has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.70 (+13.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.20 -
$20.49
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.20 -
$20.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.77
Resistance Level
$21.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.03
Wall Street Target
$21.70
(+13.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.7%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.00
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.86
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$18.73
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$19.06
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 59.7%)
$93.54
(+389%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 59.7%)
$64.56
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 59.7%)
$54.88
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.05 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.90
Bull Case
$22.81
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$18.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case
$14.45
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$19.47
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig L Weinstock
SELL
70000 shares
2026-02-23
Joseph W Rovig
SELL
151086 shares
2026-02-23
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