NOV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOV - NOV Inc.
$20.42
0.15 (0.74%)
â˛
5d:
-3.41%
30d:
+1.44%
90d:
-2.11%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NOV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NOV is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.80
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.47
13.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOV is currently trading at $20.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.41 to $20.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $19.80, while resistance sits at $21.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $19.80, while resistance sits at $21.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$19.41 -
$20.77
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NOV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.24)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.41 -
$20.77
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.80
Resistance Level
$21.67
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.20
Wall Street Target
$22.24
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 15.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.77
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.12
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$21.48
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â15)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 42.5%)
$73.25
(+259%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 42.5%)
$59.13
(+190%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 42.5%)
$50.26
(+146%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.79 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.94
Bull Case
$24.66
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$20.42
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$15.62
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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