NOV (NOV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOV - NOV Inc.
$18.91
0.18 (0.96%)
▲
5d:
-4.97%
30d:
-11.47%
90d:
+4.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
24d
Get Alerted When NOV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.57
19.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOV is currently trading at $18.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.65 to $21.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $18.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOV scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.18 (+17.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOV is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $18.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOV scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.18 (+17.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.65 -
$21.30
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NOV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.18)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.65 -
$21.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.46
Resistance Level
$20.62
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.04
Wall Street Target
$22.18
(+17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 15.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.72
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.53
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$18.35
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$18.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 40.8%)
$71.59
(+279%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 40.8%)
$52.77
(+179%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 40.8%)
$44.86
(+137%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 15.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.21
Bull Case
$22.83
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$18.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$14.47
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$19.49
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NOV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SLB
Schlumberger NV |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$62 | 51 HOLD |
|
BKR
Baker Hughes Co |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$72 | 70 BUY |
|
HAL
Halliburton Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$43 | 53 HOLD |
|
FTI
TechnipFMC PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$76 | 55 HOLD |
|
WFRD
Weatherford Internationa… |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$117 | 64 BUY |
Advanced NOV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NOV price and gamma walls.
