NOA
North American Construction Group Ltd.
Oil & Gas Field Services, NEC
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NOA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$9.34
-0.12 (-1.27%)
▼
5d:
-1.06%
30d:
-20.1%
90d:
-32.56%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (75%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$10.26 – $12.35
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.6x
FAIR
vs 4.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$19.00
+103.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.56 / $12.53
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NOA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.92
5.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOA is currently trading at $9.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.26 to $12.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (4.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.56, while resistance sits at $12.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+103.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.56, while resistance sits at $12.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+103.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.26 -
$12.35
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$10.26 -
$12.35
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$8.56
Resistance Level
$12.53
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 103.4% below Wall St target ($19.00)
- BEARISH: Market expects 4.4% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.58
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+103.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Profit Margin
2.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
5.6 vs 4.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.75
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$10.18
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$10.63
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 57.7%)
$112.27
(+1102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 57.7%)
$31.52
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.7, Growth: 57.7%)
$26.79
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$21.05
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$19.14
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$6.51
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NOA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jul 19, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user holds 10,000 shares of $NOA, reflecting a positive sentiment among traders.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish sentiment towards $NOA
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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