NOA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NOA - North American Construction Group Ltd.
$13.45
-0.16 (-1.18%)
▼
5d:
+2.44%
30d:
+0.07%
90d:
-8.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
27d
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1 traders called NOA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NOA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.33
22.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NOA is currently trading at $13.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.20 to $13.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.5) is in line with its historical norms (4.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.53 (+104.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NOA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NOA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.53 (+104.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$13.20 -
$13.76
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 104.7% below Wall St target ($27.53)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.20 -
$13.76
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.51
Resistance Level
$14.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.50
Wall Street Target
$27.53
(+104.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.5%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 4.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.17
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.89
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$12.62
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
$13.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.0%)
$178.34
(+1226%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 40.0%)
$36.88
(+174%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 40.0%)
$31.35
(+133%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case
$30.07
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$27.34
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$9.30
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 4.8
Stabilization Target:
$14.33
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NOA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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