QXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QXO - QXO, Inc.
$17.78
-0.22 (-1.22%)
▼
5d:
+0.11%
30d:
+2.18%
90d:
-9.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QXO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QXO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.29
20.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $17.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.06 to $17.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.1) compared to its historical average (39.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QXO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+77.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: QXO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+77.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.06 -
$17.41
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 77.2% below Wall St target ($31.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.06 -
$17.41
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.32
Resistance Level
$17.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.12
Wall Street Target
$31.50
(+77.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12716.3%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 39.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.00
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.40
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.96
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→39)
$20.96
(+18%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 114.8%)
$60.01
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 114.8%)
$54.20
(+205%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 114.8%)
$46.07
(+159%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.1 to 39.0
Stabilization Target:
$28.75
(+61.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+61.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 27, 2026 5:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QXO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QXO price and gamma walls.
