AIT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AIT - Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.
$329.35
-1.80 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+0.25%
30d:
+4.86%
90d:
+13.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AIT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AIT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$407.11
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$252.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AIT is currently trading at $329.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $317.52 to $335.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.9) compared to its historical average (24.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $310.04, while resistance sits at $340.37.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $310.04, while resistance sits at $340.37.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (3th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$317.52 -
$335.48
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
3th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 3th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($351.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$317.52 -
$335.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$15.07
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$310.04
Resistance Level
$340.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.95
Wall Street Target
$351.17
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
28.0 vs 24.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$343.84
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$358.97
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$374.77
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$329.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.9, Growth: 10.1%)
$438.98
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.1%)
$342.09
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.1%)
$290.77
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.56
Bull Case
$406.48
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.6%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$369.53
(+12%)
Market implied 11.6%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$225.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AIT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jason W Vasquez
SELL
5447 shares
2026-02-05
Warren E Hoffner III
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-05
Neil A Schrimsher
SELL
19207 shares
2026-02-04
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Advanced AIT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AIT price and gamma walls.
