CNM Core & Main, Inc. WHOLESALE-DURABLE GOODS, NEC

Core & Main (CNM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$44.62
-1.38 (-3.00%) â–ŧ
5d: -4.96% 30d: +10.09% 90d: -2.96%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (38%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$40.77 – $45.63
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.3x FAIR
vs 18.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$54.36
+21.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$43.80 / $49.71
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CNM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

Get Alerted When CNM Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading chart...

Loading historical data...

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.65
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNM is currently trading at $44.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.77 to $45.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: CNM scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.36 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $40.77 - $45.63
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 38.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $40.77 - $45.63
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $43.80
Resistance Level $49.71
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($54.36)
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.31
Wall Street Target $54.36 (+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.2%
Profit Margin 6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.3 vs 18.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.33 (-3%)
2-Year Target $42.07 (-6%)
3-Year Target $40.85 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→19) $44.60 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.5%) $70.95 (+59%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.3, Growth: 11.5%) $61.84 (+39%)
Bear: (PE: 14.7, Growth: 11.5%) $52.56 (+18%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.43
Bull Case $53.67 (+20%)
Analyst growth 6.1%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case $48.79 (+9%)
Market implied 6.1%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case $31.28 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.3 to 18.9
Stabilization Target: $48.71 (+9.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.2%
Share CNM Analysis

Share this live CNM analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CNM)

Bearish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Mar 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bearish sentiment prevails on $CNM as investors anticipate lower YoY comps and lowered guidance. This week, the Federal Reserve speakers will weigh in on the economic outlook amid the war's energy disruptions.
Key Retail Themes: Federal Reserve speakers and economic outlook Lower comps and lowered guidance for $CNM
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:25 AM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for CNM.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Industrial Distribution Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Industrial Distribution by analyst ratings.

Stock Analyst Consensus Analyst Target Tradestie Score
QXO
QXO, Inc.
STRONG BUY
19 analysts
$24 37 SELL
FERG
Ferguson Plc
BUY
24 analysts
$283 35 SELL
WCC
WESCO International Inc
STRONG BUY
11 analysts
$418 49 HOLD
MSM
MSC Industrial Direct Coâ€Ļ
BUY
11 analysts
$135 67 BUY
AIT
Applied Industrial Technâ€Ļ
STRONG BUY
8 analysts
$380 59 HOLD

Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools

Part A: Deep-Dive CNM Research Pages
CNM Technical Chart CNM Price Prediction CNM Intrinsic Value DCF CNM Earnings Date Why is CNM Moving Today? CNM Investment Advisor CNM Fair Price Analyzer CNM Competitors
Part B: Tradestie Flagship Market Scanners
Live Trades
From trading groups
Loading trades...
View All Live Trades See Trader Consensus & Signals