Core & Main (CNM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNM - Core & Main, Inc.
$41.35
-0.03 (-0.07%)
▼
5d:
-3.03%
30d:
-5.53%
90d:
-10.07%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CNM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.77
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.56
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNM is currently trading at $41.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.49 to $43.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.0) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.77 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.77 (+32.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$41.49 -
$43.73
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($54.77)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.49 -
$43.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.85
Resistance Level
$43.85
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.04
Wall Street Target
$54.77
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.0 vs 19.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.95
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$36.69
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$34.56
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$41.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.5%)
$72.87
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.0, Growth: 11.5%)
$57.31
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.6, Growth: 11.5%)
$48.71
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$48.48
(+17%)
Analyst growth 6.5%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$44.07
(+7%)
Market implied 6.5%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$28.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.0 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$49.49
(+19.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CNM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robyn L Bradbury
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
Top Rated Industrial Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Industrial Distribution by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FERG
Ferguson Plc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$287 | 63 BUY |
|
WCC
WESCO International Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$399 | 39 SELL |
|
AIT
Applied Industrial Techn… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$400 | 43 HOLD |
|
FAST
Fastenal Company |
HOLD
16 analysts |
$49 | 59 HOLD |
|
GWW
WW Grainger Inc |
SELL
18 analysts |
$1332 | 57 HOLD |
