QXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QXO - QXO, Inc.
$16.49
0.27 (1.63%)
▲
5d:
-3.09%
30d:
-1.11%
90d:
-18.35%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QXO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QXO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 17.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.29
26.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $16.48, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.02 to $17.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.0) compared to its historical average (39.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.32, while resistance sits at $17.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+94.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.32, while resistance sits at $17.96.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+94.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.02 -
$17.24
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 94.2% below Wall St target ($31.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.02 -
$17.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.32
Resistance Level
$17.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.00
Wall Street Target
$31.50
(+94.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12716.3%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.0 vs 39.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.60
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.14
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$11.82
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→39)
$21.12
(+30%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 114.8%)
$54.74
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 114.8%)
$54.20
(+234%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 114.8%)
$46.07
(+184%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.0 to 39.3
Stabilization Target:
$28.98
(+78.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+78.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QXO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QXO price and gamma walls.