Is QXO stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, QXO is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QXO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of QXO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for QXO to be between $12.98 and $15.03. The current price is $12.31.

What is the analyst price target for QXO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for QXO is $29.11. This implies a potential upside of 136.5% from current levels.

QXO (QXO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QXO - QXO, Inc.

WHOLESALE-LUMBER & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS

$12.31

0.02 (0.16%) ▲

5d: -8.54%

30d: -18.1%

90d: -25.75%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 14, 2026 at $14.46 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QXO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$31.47

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$19.54

37.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $12.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.98 to $15.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (34.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.11 (+136.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $12.98 - $15.03

Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 136.5% below Wall St target ($29.11)
WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $12.98 - $15.03

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $12.17

Resistance Level $14.24

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.04

Wall Street Target $29.11 (+136.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 70.3%

Profit Margin -5.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -18.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 19.0 vs 34.8 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -18.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.08 (-10%)

2-Year Target $9.97 (-19%)

3-Year Target $8.97 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→35) $16.40 (+33%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 127.7%) $44.01 (+258%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 127.7%) $41.55 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 16.2, Growth: 127.7%) $35.31 (+187%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 34.8

Stabilization Target: $22.50 (+82.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +82.8%

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Last updated: September 13, 2026 1:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:01 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced QXO Option Strategies

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