What is the fair value of QXO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for QXO to be between $13.57 and $15.20. The current price is $13.76.

What is the analyst price target for QXO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for QXO is $29.29. This implies a potential upside of 119.6% from current levels.

QXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QXO - QXO, Inc.

WHOLESALE-LUMBER & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS

$13.76

0.42 (3.15%) ▲

5d: -5.17%

30d: -0.51%

90d: -19.2%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 13, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 14, 2026 at $14.46 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 9.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: QXO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -16.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$31.46

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$19.54

29.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $13.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.57 to $15.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (35.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.14, while resistance sits at $16.19. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.29 (+119.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $13.57 - $15.20

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 84.3%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
BULLISH: Trading 119.6% below Wall St target ($29.29)
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.57 - $15.20

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.15

Resistance Level $16.19

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.64

Wall Street Target $29.29 (+119.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 70.3%

Profit Margin -5.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -16.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 20.6 vs 35.9 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -16.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $12.01 (-10%)

2-Year Target $10.81 (-19%)

3-Year Target $9.72 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→36) $16.91 (+27%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 122.2%) $45.02 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 122.2%) $43.78 (+228%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 122.2%) $37.21 (+179%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 35.9

Stabilization Target: $23.20 (+73.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +73.9%

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Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 AM

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Advanced QXO Option Strategies

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