Is QXO stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, QXO is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: QXO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of QXO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for QXO to be between $11.78 and $13.37. The current price is $12.06.

What is the analyst price target for QXO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for QXO is $28.94. This implies a potential upside of 140.0% from current levels.

QXO (QXO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QXO - QXO, Inc.

WHOLESALE-LUMBER & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS

$12.06

0.01 (0.08%) ▲

5d: -2.98%

30d: -8.77%

90d: -23.72%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your QXO Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 30, 2026 at $11.69 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026

Strength: 7.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QXO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$31.20

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$19.37

37.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $12.06, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.78 to $13.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (33.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.37, while resistance sits at $12.84.

Market Sentiment: QXO scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.94 (+140.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $11.78 - $13.37

Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 140.0% below Wall St target ($28.94)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.78 - $13.37

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.37

Resistance Level $12.84

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.82

Wall Street Target $28.94 (+140.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 70.3%

Profit Margin -5.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -17.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 18.8 vs 33.5 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -17.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $10.85 (-10%)

2-Year Target $9.77 (-19%)

3-Year Target $8.79 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→34) $15.65 (+30%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 132.6%) $44.13 (+266%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 132.6%) $40.70 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 16.0, Growth: 132.6%) $34.60 (+187%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 33.5

Stabilization Target: $21.47 (+78.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +78.0%

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Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:02 PM

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