QXO QXO, Inc. WHOLESALE-LUMBER & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS

QXO (QXO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$12.81
-1.00 (-7.24%) ▼
5d: +10.05% 30d: +24.01% 90d: -11.72%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$10.40 – $12.46
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
25.9x CHEAP
vs 31.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$24.47
+91.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.70 / $14.12
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QXO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $11.78 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.98
14.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $12.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.40 to $12.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.9) compared to its historical average (31.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.70, while resistance sits at $14.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: QXO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.47 (+91.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.40 - $12.46
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $10.40 - $12.46
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $10.70
Resistance Level $14.12
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.2%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 91.0% below Wall St target ($24.47)
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.85
Wall Street Target $24.47 (+91.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 70.3%
Profit Margin -5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.9 vs 31.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.95 (-7%)
2-Year Target $11.15 (-13%)
3-Year Target $10.40 (-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→32) $12.84 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.8, Growth: 111.4%) $43.23 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 111.4%) $33.22 (+159%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 111.4%) $28.24 (+120%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 31.9
Stabilization Target: $15.81 (+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +23.4%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (QXO)

Bullish 9 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
7 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: QXO reported a loss in the third quarter of 2026, but Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Common Share were $0.13. The company saw improvements in organic daily revenue trends and an increase in companywide pricing.
Key Retail Themes: earnings report company performance share repurchase program
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced QXO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QXO price and gamma walls.

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Part A: Deep-Dive QXO Research Pages
QXO Technical Chart QXO Price Prediction QXO Intrinsic Value DCF QXO Earnings Date Why is QXO Moving Today? QXO Investment Advisor QXO Fair Price Analyzer QXO Options Chain QXO Options Advisor QXO Options Analysis QXO Competitors
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