RYN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYN - Rayonier Inc.
$21.49
-0.29 (-1.33%)
▼
5d:
-0.88%
30d:
+0.0%
90d:
+2.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.52
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYN is currently trading at $21.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.25 to $21.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 33.6) is in line with its historical norms (37.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.83 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.83 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.25 -
$21.90
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.83)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.25 -
$21.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.96
Resistance Level
$22.31
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.64
Wall Street Target
$25.83
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
233.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.5%
Profit Margin
68.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.6 vs 37.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$20.37
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$19.69
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→37)
$21.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.6, Growth: 39.8%)
$59.49
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 39.8%)
$36.67
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 39.8%)
$31.17
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case
$34.63
(+59%)
Analyst growth 47.2%, PE expands to 53.5
Base Case
$31.48
(+45%)
Market implied 47.2%, PE stable at 48.6
Bear Case
$14.55
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.6 to 37.3
Stabilization Target:
$24.15
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wayne Wasechek
SELL
2920 shares
2026-04-20
Eric J Cremers
SELL
169200 shares
2026-02-27
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