Rayonier (RYN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYN - Rayonier Inc.
$18.22
-0.14 (-0.76%)
▼
5d:
-4.41%
30d:
-12.45%
90d:
-15.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RYN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RYN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.59
2.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYN is currently trading at $18.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.23 to $20.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.6) compared to its historical average (36.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RYN scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+42.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RYN scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+42.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.23 -
$20.83
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.7% below Wall St target ($26.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.23 -
$20.83
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.91
Resistance Level
$20.34
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.63
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+42.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
272.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.6%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.6 vs 36.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.00
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$15.86
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$14.80
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→37)
$18.23
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.6, Growth: 47.4%)
$58.36
(+220%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 47.4%)
$40.19
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 47.4%)
$34.16
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$27.00
(+48%)
Analyst growth 33.7%, PE expands to 43.9
Base Case
$24.55
(+35%)
Market implied 33.7%, PE stable at 39.9
Bear Case
$12.48
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.6 to 36.5
Stabilization Target:
$22.45
(+23.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wayne Wasechek
SELL
2920 shares
2026-04-20
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