Rayonier (RYN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYN - Rayonier Inc.
$18.40
-0.41 (-2.18%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.34%
30d:
-9.09%
90d:
-13.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RYN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RYN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.5% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.62
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYN is currently trading at $18.40, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.27 to $19.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.4) compared to its historical average (36.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.67 (+28.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.93. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.67 (+28.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.27 -
$19.79
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.6% below Wall St target ($23.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.27 -
$19.79
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.93
Resistance Level
$19.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.43
Wall Street Target
$23.67
(+28.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
272.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-97.6%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.4 vs 36.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.76
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$17.13
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$16.53
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32â36)
$18.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.4, Growth: 33.6%)
$43.88
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 33.6%)
$26.87
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 33.6%)
$22.84
(+24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$25.52
(+39%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 45.0
Base Case
$23.20
(+26%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 40.9
Bear Case
$12.79
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.4 to 36.1
Stabilization Target:
$20.48
(+11.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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