Rayonier (RYN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.40
-0.09 (-0.40%)
▼
5d:
+6.07%
30d:
+13.32%
90d:
-1.68%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$18.15 – $20.39
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
37.0x
FAIR
vs 36.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$25.00
+16.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.63 / $21.97
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RYN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYN is currently trading at $21.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.15 to $20.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.0) is in line with its historical norms (36.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RYN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.00 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RYN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.00 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.15 -
$20.39
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$18.15 -
$20.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$18.63
Resistance Level
$21.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.04
Wall Street Target
$25.00
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
218.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
46.5%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
37.0 vs 36.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.67
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.87
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$22.07
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.0, Growth: 32.1%)
$49.51
(+131%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 32.1%)
$26.55
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 32.1%)
$22.56
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 35.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.62
Bull Case
$22.45
(+5%)
Analyst growth -6.5%, PE expands to 38.7
Base Case
$20.41
(-5%)
Market implied -6.5%, PE stable at 35.2
Bear Case
$14.84
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RYN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Royal Bank of Canada (RY) raised its dividend after reporting strong results, reinforcing its position as a core indicator of Canadian financial sector health.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend growth
Broad-based business strength
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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