RYN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYN - Rayonier Inc.
$21.17
0.26 (1.24%)
▲
5d:
-1.72%
30d:
+3.83%
90d:
+5.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYN is currently trading at $21.17, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.30 to $21.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 31.7) compared to its historical average (38.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+24.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+24.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$20.30 -
$21.25
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($26.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.30 -
$21.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.44
Resistance Level
$21.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.71
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
233.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.5%
Profit Margin
68.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.7 vs 38.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.68
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$18.52
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$17.42
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→38)
$20.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.7, Growth: 40.1%)
$57.51
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.1%)
$39.51
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 40.1%)
$33.58
(+61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$33.09
(+58%)
Analyst growth 43.4%, PE expands to 50.2
Base Case
$30.08
(+44%)
Market implied 43.4%, PE stable at 45.6
Bear Case
$14.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.7 to 38.1
Stabilization Target:
$25.13
(+20.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wayne Wasechek
SELL
2920 shares
2026-04-20
Eric J Cremers
SELL
169200 shares
2026-02-27
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