RYN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYN - Rayonier Inc.
$21.45
0.18 (0.85%)
▲
5d:
-0.69%
30d:
+3.67%
90d:
+1.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYN is currently trading at $21.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.89 to $21.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 32.5) compared to its historical average (37.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+21.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$20.89 -
$21.66
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.2% below Wall St target ($26.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.89 -
$21.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.44
Resistance Level
$21.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.52
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+21.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
233.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.5%
Profit Margin
68.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
32.5 vs 37.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.44
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.48
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$18.57
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→38)
$21.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.5, Growth: 40.1%)
$59.00
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 40.1%)
$39.51
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 40.1%)
$33.58
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$33.54
(+56%)
Analyst growth 43.4%, PE expands to 50.9
Base Case
$30.49
(+42%)
Market implied 43.4%, PE stable at 46.2
Bear Case
$14.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.5 to 37.6
Stabilization Target:
$24.80
(+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wayne Wasechek
SELL
2920 shares
2026-04-20
Eric J Cremers
SELL
169200 shares
2026-02-27
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