TAYD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAYD - Taylor Devices Inc
$62.26
4.04 (6.94%)
▲
5d:
+12.73%
30d:
+17.47%
90d:
-17.0%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TAYD is 9.0% above its trading range ($57.14). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TAYD is 9.0% above its trading range ($57.14). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.08
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.95
32.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAYD is currently trading at $62.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.58 to $57.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: TAYD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.32. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: TAYD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$51.58 -
$57.14
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.58 -
$57.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.94
Resistance Level
$55.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.17
Wall Street Target
$67.00
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.5%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 20.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.40
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$52.93
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$48.80
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→21)
$62.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.0%)
$156.05
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 23.0%)
$115.87
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 23.0%)
$98.49
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case
$78.03
(+25%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$70.93
(+14%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$39.59
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$79.31
(+27.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 28, 2026 1:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TAYD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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