Taylor Devices (TAYD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAYD - Taylor Devices Inc
$56.02
-0.07 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
+3.61%
30d:
-11.88%
90d:
+1.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TAYD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TAYD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.70
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.02
32.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAYD is currently trading at $56.02, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.74 to $62.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.49, while resistance sits at $60.70.
Market Sentiment: TAYD scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.49, while resistance sits at $60.70.
Market Sentiment: TAYD scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.00 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$55.74 -
$62.13
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (83/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($65.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 83/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.74 -
$62.13
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.50
Resistance Level
$60.70
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.55
Wall Street Target
$65.00
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.7%
Profit Margin
17.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 18.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.59
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$47.52
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$43.76
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$55.94
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.0%)
$142.29
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 23.0%)
$104.25
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 23.0%)
$88.62
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$115.31
(+106%)
Analyst growth 86.9%, PE expands to 30.0
Base Case
$104.83
(+87%)
Market implied 86.9%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$38.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$71.61
(+27.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TAYD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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