Taylor Devices (TAYD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TAYD - Taylor Devices Inc
$54.97
-6.14 (-10.05%)
▼
5d:
-13.06%
30d:
-7.16%
90d:
-3.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 07, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TAYD is down 13.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TAYD is down 13.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.86
Based on 13.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.36
34.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TAYD is currently trading at $54.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.89 to $62.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.60, while resistance sits at $65.95. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TAYD scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+27.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TAYD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.60, while resistance sits at $65.95. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: TAYD scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.00 (+27.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$58.89 -
$62.56
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.3% below Wall St target ($70.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.89 -
$62.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.60
Resistance Level
$65.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.28
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+27.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-42.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.5%
Profit Margin
20.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$50.02
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$45.52
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$41.42
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→19)
$54.83
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 23.0%)
$146.16
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 23.0%)
$102.30
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 23.0%)
$86.95
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.62
Bull Case
$98.78
(+80%)
Analyst growth 46.9%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$89.80
(+63%)
Market implied 46.9%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$41.55
(-24%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.3 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$72.76
(+32.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TAYD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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